AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles

AZ Alkmaar host GO Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at AFAS Stadion. AZ Alkmaar sit 1st in the table and GO Ahead Eagles are 5th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 4 league games AZ Alkmaar have taken 4 wins (W W W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 3.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 4 league games GO Ahead Eagles have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W D W L). GO Ahead Eagles are averaging 2.8 scored and 2.3 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 9 meetings have produced 6 wins for AZ Alkmaar, 0 for GO Ahead Eagles and 3 draws, averaging 3.8 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 86% at odds of 1.16. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.78 to 0.76.

AZ are league leaders with exceptional recent form and clean sheets in 2 of last 3. GO Ahead Eagles are third but AZ's home xG (1.78) and defensive solidity (0.33 conceded) support the 86% double chance for home or draw.