Virtus Entella vs Cesena

Virtus Entella host Cesena in the Serie B, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Stadio Comunale. Virtus Entella sit 19th in the table and Cesena are 4th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 2 league games Virtus Entella have taken 2 defeats (L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games Cesena have taken 1 win and 1 draw (D W). Cesena are averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 9 meetings have produced 2 wins for Virtus Entella, 5 for Cesena and 2 draws, averaging 2.6 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.66 to 0.16.

Virtus Entella at home with 1.66 xG versus Cesena's 0.16 xG away. H2H shows Entella's home strength (3-1, 4-0 wins). Model's 97% for Home or Draw is well-supported.