Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia

Sampdoria host Juve Stabia in the Serie B, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Sampdoria sit 17th in the table and Juve Stabia are 13th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 2 league games Sampdoria have taken 1 draw and 1 defeat (D L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games Juve Stabia have taken 1 win and 1 defeat (L W). Juve Stabia are averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 5 meetings have produced 1 win for Sampdoria, 2 for Juve Stabia and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 90% at odds of 1.11. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.82 to 0.92.

Sampdoria 0.82 xG, Juve Stabia 0.92 xG. Both teams in poor form (Sampdoria D, Stabia L). H2H includes multiple low-scoring results. Under 3.5 at 90% confidence is justified.