Burgos vs Real Sociedad II
Burgos2-2
Real Sociedad IIHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Burgos host Real Sociedad II in the Segunda División, kicking off on Monday, 31 August 2026 at Municipal El Plantio. Burgos sit 12th in the table and Real Sociedad II are 13th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 3 league games Burgos have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 3 league games Real Sociedad II have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat (L W D). Real Sociedad II are averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.
Their last 8 meetings have produced 3 wins for Burgos, 1 for Real Sociedad II and 4 draws, averaging 1.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Both Teams to Score - No (No) as the pick, rated 86% at odds of 1.16. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.34 to 0.20.
Statistical model favors No (Burgos vs Real Sociedad II) at 86% based on expected goals of 1.34-0.20.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw95%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)94%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.593%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No86%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.580%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away71%
- Home Win · Home66%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.554%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)50%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.546%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away34%
- Draw · Draw29%
- Correct Score · 1-028%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.520%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes14%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.57%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)6%
- Away Win · Away5%
Last 10 meetings
- WBurgos2 - 018/07/2026Real Sociedad IIL
- DReal Sociedad II0 - 003/05/2026BurgosD
- WBurgos1 - 025/10/2025Real Sociedad IIL
- DBurgos0 - 013/03/2022Real Sociedad IID
- LReal Sociedad II0 - 105/12/2021BurgosW
- DReal Sociedad II0 - 031/07/2021BurgosD
- LBurgos0 - 212/01/2020Real Sociedad IIW
- DReal Sociedad II1 - 124/08/2019BurgosD
Recent form
- Dv
Real Sociedad II2 - 2 - L@
Sporting Gijon0 - 1 - Wv
Cordoba3 - 2 - Lv
Athletic Club0 - 3 - W@
Unionistas de Salamanca1 - 0 - Dv
Athletic Club II1 - 1 - WvReal Sociedad II2 - 0
- Wv
FC Andorra1 - 0 - W@
Cultural Leonesa2 - 0
- D@
Burgos2 - 2 - W@
Albacete2 - 1 - Lv
Castellón0 - 1 - L@
Zaragoza1 - 2 - Lv
Huesca0 - 2 - Lv
Eibar0 - 1 - Wv
PAU4 - 0 - L@Burgos0 - 2
- DvCultural Leonesa1 - 1
- L@Albacete1 - 3
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos | 1.67 | 1.67 | 12 |
| Real Sociedad II | 1.33 | 1.33 | 13 |
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Leganes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 |  Granada CF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 3 | Castellón | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 4 | Sporting Gijon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 5 |  Las Palmas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 7 |  Tenerife | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 8 | Eibar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 |  Sabadell | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 10 |  Girona | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Celta de Vigo II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 12 | Burgos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 |  Oviedo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | FC Andorra | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |  Almeria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Cadiz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 |  Valladolid | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 |  Eldense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 21 | Albacete | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.