West Brom vs Charlton

West Brom host Charlton in the Championship, kicking off on Wednesday, 2 September 2026 at The Hawthorns. West Brom sit 7th in the table and Charlton are 3rd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 4 league games West Brom have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W W L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 4 league games Charlton have taken 3 wins and 1 draw (W W W D). Charlton are averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 5 meetings have produced 1 win for West Brom, 1 for Charlton and 3 draws, averaging 2.4 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Correct Score (1-0) as the pick, rated 21% at odds of 4.76. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.24 to 0.49.

Statistical model favors 1-0 (West Brom vs Charlton) at 21% based on expected goals of 1.24-0.49.