Preston vs Bristol City
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Preston host Bristol City in the Championship, kicking off on Tuesday, 1 September 2026 at Deepdale. Preston sit 24th in the table and Bristol City are 6th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 4 league games Preston have taken 4 defeats (L L L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 4 league games Bristol City have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (L D W W). Bristol City are averaging 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.
Their last 10 meetings have produced 2 wins for Preston, 3 for Bristol City and 5 draws, averaging 2.4 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance X2 (Draw or Away) as the pick, rated 81% at odds of 1.23. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.01 to 1.80.
Preston are bottom-three with three consecutive losses and minimal scoring threat (0.67 GA). Bristol City's superior league position and recent form support the Draw or Away market at 81% confidence.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away81%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.578%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away74%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)74%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)72%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.569%
- Away Win · Away55%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes54%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.553%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.547%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No46%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw45%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.531%
- Draw · Draw26%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)26%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.522%
- Home Win · Home19%
- Correct Score · 1-112%
Last 10 meetings
- LBristol City
0 - 204/01/2026
PrestonW - DPreston
0 - 027/09/2025
Bristol CityD - DBristol City
2 - 203/05/2025
PrestonD - LPreston
1 - 302/11/2024
Bristol CityW - WPreston
2 - 013/01/2024
Bristol CityL - DBristol City
1 - 105/08/2023
PrestonD - LPreston
1 - 204/02/2023
Bristol CityW - WBristol City
2 - 112/10/2022
PrestonL - DPreston
2 - 229/01/2022
Bristol CityD - DBristol City
0 - 011/09/2021
PrestonD
Recent form
- Lv
Bristol City1 - 3 - L@
Charlton0 - 1 - Lv
Everton0 - 4 - Lv
Wolves1 - 3 - L@
Bolton1 - 2 - L@
Stockport County0 - 1 - L@
Bradford2 - 3 - L@
Marine0 - 3 - Lv
Cambridge United0 - 1
- W@
Preston3 - 1 - Wv
Portsmouth2 - 1 - D@
Birmingham2 - 2 - Lv
Millwall0 - 2 - Lv
Walsall0 - 1 - D@
Exeter City1 - 1 - D@
Plymouth0 - 0 - Wv
Newcastle4 - 1 - L@
Forest Green2 - 3 - W@
Swindon Town3 - 1
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 0.75 | 2.25 | 24 |
| Bristol City | 1.75 | 1.5 | 6 |
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | |
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 | |
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 | |
| 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 5 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 | |
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 | |
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | |
| 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 | |
| 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 | |
| 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 3 | |
| 19 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 | |
| 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 | |
| 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 | |
| 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 | |
| 23 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 | |
| 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.