Charlton vs Preston

Charlton host Preston in the Championship, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at The Valley. Charlton sit 3rd in the table and Preston are 24th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 4 league games Charlton have taken 3 wins and 1 draw (W W W D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 4 league games Preston have taken 4 defeats (L L L L). Preston are averaging 0.8 scored and 2.3 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 2 wins for Charlton, 7 for Preston and 1 draw, averaging 3.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 81% at odds of 1.23. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.27 to 1.70.

Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (Charlton vs Preston) at 81% based on expected goals of 1.27-1.70.