Blackburn vs QPR
Blackburn1-2
QPRHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Blackburn host QPR in the Championship, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Ewood Park. Blackburn sit 13th in the table and QPR are 2nd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 4 league games Blackburn have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat (D W L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.
Over their last 4 league games QPR have taken 3 wins and 1 draw (W D W W). QPR are averaging 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.
Their last 10 meetings have produced 6 wins for Blackburn, 4 for QPR and 0 draws, averaging 2.6 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Correct Score (0-0) as the pick, rated 32% at odds of 3.13. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.70 to 0.47.
Statistical model favors 0-0 (Blackburn vs QPR) at 32% based on expected goals of 0.70-0.47.
Market probabilities
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.597%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.589%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No80%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw79%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.566%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away65%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)63%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away55%
- Draw · Draw45%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)41%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)37%
- Home Win · Home35%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.534%
- Correct Score · 0-032%
- Away Win · Away21%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes20%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.511%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.53%
Last 10 meetings
- LBlackburn1 - 229/08/2026QPRW
- LQPR1 - 314/02/2026BlackburnW
- LBlackburn0 - 126/11/2025QPRW
- WQPR2 - 104/02/2025BlackburnL
- WBlackburn2 - 028/09/2024QPRL
- LBlackburn1 - 203/02/2024QPRW
- LQPR0 - 407/10/2023BlackburnW
- LQPR1 - 325/02/2023BlackburnW
- WBlackburn1 - 030/07/2022QPRL
- WBlackburn1 - 026/02/2022QPRL
Recent form
- D@
Lincoln0 - 0 - Lv
QPR1 - 2 - Lv
Sheffield Utd1 - 2 - Wv
Middlesbrough2 - 1 - D@
Wolves2 - 2 - W@
Burton Albion2 - 1 - D@
Huddersfield1 - 1 - W@
Strasbourg2 - 0 - L@
Nottingham Forest0 - 3 - Wv
Barnsley3 - 0
- Wv
Cardiff2 - 1 - W@
Blackburn2 - 1 - Dv
Bolton0 - 0 - W@
Portsmouth3 - 1 - W@
AFC Wimbledon3 - 2 - W@
Bromley7 - 0 - Wv
Fiorentina3 - 2 - Wv
Wycombe1 - 0 - W@
SC Wiener Neustadt3 - 1
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn | 1.25 | 1.25 | 13 |
| QPR | 1.75 | 0.75 | 2 |
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 | QPR | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 |  Charlton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 | Wolves | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 |  Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 |  West Brom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Birmingham | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 10 |  Millwall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 12 |  West Ham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 14 |  Watford | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Bolton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 |  Derby | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Lincoln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Southampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 3 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 |  Stoke City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 23 |  Burnley | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 24 |  Preston | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.