Middlesbrough vs West Brom

Middlesbrough host West Brom in the Championship, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Riverside Stadium. Middlesbrough sit 5th in the table and West Brom are 7th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 4 league games Middlesbrough have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W L W D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 4 league games West Brom have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W W L D). West Brom are averaging 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 7 wins for Middlesbrough, 2 for West Brom and 1 draw, averaging 2.9 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Draw (Draw) as the pick, rated 43% at odds of 2.33. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.69 to 0.61.

Statistical model favors Draw (Middlesbrough vs West Brom) at 43% based on expected goals of 0.69-0.61.