Paris FC vs Nice

Paris FC host Nice in the Ligue 1, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Stade Jean Bouin. Paris FC sit 4th in the table and Nice are 17th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 2 league games Paris FC have taken 1 win and 1 draw (D W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games Nice have taken 1 draw and 1 defeat (D L). Nice are averaging 0.0 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 3 meetings have produced 2 wins for Paris FC, 0 for Nice and 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.41 to 0.61.

Paris FC's home advantage and superior xG (1.41 vs 0.61) favour home control. Nice's away form is marginal; away win only 15% likely. Home or draw comfortably covers the likely outcome.