Auxerre vs Angers

Auxerre host Angers in the Ligue 1, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026. Auxerre sit 18th in the table and Angers are 9th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 2 league games Auxerre have taken 2 defeats (L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 4.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games Angers have taken 1 win and 1 defeat (L W). Angers are averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 3 wins for Auxerre, 3 for Angers and 4 draws, averaging 2.8 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.91 to 0.46.

Auxerre has significant home advantage with 1.91 xG and 71% home win probability. Angers offers minimal threat (0.46 xG) despite recent losses. Home or Draw at 93% is well supported.