1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim
1. FC Köln3-2
1899 HoffenheimHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
1. FC Köln host 1899 Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at RheinEnergieStadion. 1. FC Köln sit 8th in the table and 1899 Hoffenheim are 13th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 1 league game 1. FC Köln have taken 1 win (W). At home and away combined they are averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 1 league game 1899 Hoffenheim have taken 1 defeat (L). 1899 Hoffenheim are averaging 2.0 scored and 3.0 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.
Their last 10 meetings have produced 3 wins for 1. FC Köln, 4 for 1899 Hoffenheim and 3 draws, averaging 3.1 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 0.5 Goals (HT) (Over 0.5 (HT)) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.71 to 1.98.
Statistical model favors Over 0.5 (HT) (1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim) at 88% based on expected goals of 2.71-1.98.
Market probabilities
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.595%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)88%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.585%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away81%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes81%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw72%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.569%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)66%
- Home Win · Home53%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away47%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)34%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.531%
- Away Win · Away28%
- Draw · Draw19%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No19%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.515%
- Correct Score · 2-17%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.55%
Last 10 meetings
- W1. FC Köln3 - 229/08/20261899 HoffenheimL
- D1. FC Köln2 - 221/02/20261899 HoffenheimD
- L1899 Hoffenheim0 - 103/10/20251. FC KölnW
- D1899 Hoffenheim1 - 111/02/20241. FC KölnD
- L1. FC Köln1 - 316/09/20231899 HoffenheimW
- L1899 Hoffenheim1 - 322/04/20231. FC KölnW
- D1. FC Köln1 - 130/10/20221899 HoffenheimD
- L1. FC Köln0 - 106/03/20221899 HoffenheimW
- W1899 Hoffenheim5 - 015/10/20211. FC KölnL
- W1899 Hoffenheim3 - 024/01/20211. FC KölnL
Recent form
- L@
VfB Stuttgart1 - 4 - Wv
1899 Hoffenheim3 - 2 - W@
Würzburger Kickers2 - 1 - Wv
Real Sociedad2 - 1 - Dv
Hertha BSC2 - 2 - W@
Bergisch Gladbach8 - 0 - L@
Bayern München1 - 5 - Lv
1. FC Heidenheim1 - 3 - D@
Union Berlin2 - 2 - Lv
Bayer Leverkusen1 - 2
- L@
1. FC Köln2 - 3 - W@
Erzgebirge Aue4 - 0 - D@
Tottenham2 - 2 - L@Tottenham0 - 3
- Wv
Karlsruher SC3 - 0 - Wv
Holstein Kiel3 - 1 - W@
SGV Freiberg3 - 0 - L@
Borussia Mönchengladbach0 - 4 - Wv
Werder Bremen1 - 0 - DvVfB Stuttgart3 - 3
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | 3 | 2 | 8 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 3 | 13 |
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 |  SC Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |  FC Augsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |  SV Elversberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 | VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | 1. FC Köln | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 |  FC Schalke 04 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.