Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Union Berlin host Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026. Union Berlin sit 10th in the table and Eintracht Frankfurt are 9th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 1 league game Union Berlin have taken 1 draw (D). At home and away combined they are averaging 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 1 league game Eintracht Frankfurt have taken 1 draw (D). Eintracht Frankfurt are averaging 3.0 scored and 3.0 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 3 wins for Union Berlin, 3 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 4 draws, averaging 2.9 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 82% at odds of 1.22. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.73 to 1.28.

Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt) at 82% based on expected goals of 1.73-1.28.