Bundesliga14:30Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

RB Leipzig3-0

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Our pick

Home Win

Home

81%

Odds 1.23

Match odds

Home / Draw / Away

RB Leipzig

1.23

81%

Draw

7.14

14%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

20.00

Why this pick

Match analysis

RB Leipzig host Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig sit 4th in the table and Borussia Mönchengladbach are 17th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 1 league game RB Leipzig have taken 1 win (W). At home and away combined they are averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 1 league game Borussia Mönchengladbach have taken 1 defeat (L). Borussia Mönchengladbach are averaging 0.0 scored and 3.0 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 5 wins for RB Leipzig, 3 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Home Win (Home) as the pick, rated 81% at odds of 1.23. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.71 to 0.57.

Statistical model favors Home (RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach) at 81% based on expected goals of 2.71-0.57.

One grid, every market

Market probabilities

Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw95%
Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)94%
Double Chance 12 · Home or Away86%
Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.585%
Home Win · Home81%
Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)77%
Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.564%
Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.559%
Both Teams to Score - No · No59%
Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.541%
Both Teams to Score · Yes41%
Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.536%
Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away19%
Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.515%
Draw · Draw14%
Correct Score · 2-014%
Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)6%
Away Win · Away5%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

WRB Leipzig3 - 029/08/2026Borussia MönchengladbachL
WRB Leipzig1 - 011/04/2026Borussia MönchengladbachL
DBorussia Mönchengladbach0 - 028/11/2025RB LeipzigD
WBorussia Mönchengladbach1 - 029/03/2025RB LeipzigL
DRB Leipzig0 - 009/11/2024Borussia MönchengladbachD
WRB Leipzig2 - 017/02/2024Borussia MonchengladbachL
LBorussia Monchengladbach0 - 123/09/2023RB LeipzigW
WRB Leipzig3 - 011/03/2023Borussia MonchengladbachL
WBorussia Monchengladbach3 - 017/09/2022RB LeipzigL
WBorussia Monchengladbach3 - 102/05/2022RB LeipzigL

Last 10 matches

Recent form

RB Leipzig · last 10

WvBorussia Mönchengladbach3 - 0
W@Eintracht Trier6 - 0
L@Bayern München1 - 3
L@Leeds0 - 2
WvVerl4 - 0
WvFC Ingolstadt 041 - 0
W@Altglienicke2 - 1
L@Mamelodi Sundowns1 - 3
L@SC Freiburg1 - 4
WvFC St. Pauli2 - 1

Borussia Mönchengladbach · last 10

L@RB Leipzig0 - 3
W@Schott Mainz5 - 0
WvAston Villa2 - 1
W@SSVg Velbert8 - 0
W@Hansa Rostock3 - 1
W@Rot-Weiß Essen2 - 1
W@Wuppertaler SV6 - 0
W@Spelle-Venhaus6 - 2
Wv1899 Hoffenheim4 - 0
L@FC Augsburg1 - 3

Per match

Goals for & against

Team	For	Against	Pos.
RB Leipzig	3	0	4
Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	3	17

Standings

Bundesliga table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	SC Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	FC Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	SV Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	VfB Stuttgart	2	0	0	1	-1	3
8	1. FC Köln	2	1	0	0	-2	3
9	Eintracht Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	0	1
10	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	0	1
11	FSV Mainz 05	1	0	1	0	0	1
12	SC Paderborn 07	1	0	1	0	0	1
13	1899 Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Bayer Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Hamburger SV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	FC Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.