Lecce vs AS Roma

Lecce host AS Roma in the Serie A, kicking off on Monday, 31 August 2026 at Via del Mare. Lecce sit 13th in the table and AS Roma are 2nd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 2 league games Lecce have taken 1 win and 1 defeat (W L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 2 league games AS Roma have taken 2 wins (W W). AS Roma are averaging 4.0 scored and 0.0 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 0 wins for Lecce, 8 for AS Roma and 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Away Win (Away) as the pick, rated 59% at odds of 1.69. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.96 to 1.94.

Statistical model favors Away (Lecce vs AS Roma) at 59% based on expected goals of 0.96-1.94.