Cagliari vs Inter

Cagliari host Inter in the Serie A, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Unipol Domus. Cagliari sit 12th in the table and Inter are 3rd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 2 league games Cagliari have taken 1 win and 1 defeat (W L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 2 league games Inter have taken 2 wins (W W). Inter are averaging 2.5 scored and 0.5 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 0 wins for Cagliari, 9 for Inter and 1 draw, averaging 2.8 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.22 to 2.83.

Inter's attacking strength (2.83 xG) and Cagliari's defensive vulnerabilities (1.22 xG) create a one-sided fixture. Inter's 70% away win probability and 4 goals-per-game average make Over 1.5 highly reliable.