Juventus vs Parma

Juventus host Parma in the Serie A, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Allianz Stadium. Juventus sit 5th in the table and Parma are 16th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 2 league games Juventus have taken 2 wins (W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games Parma have taken 2 defeats (L L). Parma are averaging 0.0 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 7 wins for Juventus, 1 for Parma and 2 draws, averaging 3.2 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.15 to 0.46.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (Juventus vs Parma) at 92% based on expected goals of 1.15-0.46.