Sassuolo vs Torino

Sassuolo host Torino in the Serie A, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026. Sassuolo sit 11th in the table and Torino are 14th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 2 league games Sassuolo have taken 1 win and 1 defeat (L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games Torino have taken 2 defeats (L L). Torino are averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 2 wins for Sassuolo, 5 for Torino and 3 draws, averaging 2.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 82% at odds of 1.22. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.25 to 0.99.

Sassuolo are favourites (65% home win) with superior xG (2.25), but the injury toll is significant—key attacking and defensive players absent. Still favourites, but the injury list warrants modest reduction from 86% to 82% confidence in a home or draw result.