Celta Vigo vs Osasuna

Celta Vigo host Osasuna in the La Liga, kicking off on Thursday, 27 August 2026 at Estadio Abanca Balaídos. Celta Vigo sit 16th in the table and Osasuna are 6th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 4 league games Celta Vigo have taken 2 draws and 2 defeats (D L L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 3 league games Osasuna have taken 2 wins and 1 draw (D W W). Osasuna are averaging 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 4 wins for Celta Vigo, 5 for Osasuna and 1 draw, averaging 2.7 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 81% at odds of 1.23.

Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (Celta Vigo vs Osasuna) at 81% based on expected goals of 1.78-1.19.