Bournemouth vs Everton

Bournemouth host Everton in the Premier League, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth sit 14th in the table and Everton are 8th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 2 league games Bournemouth have taken 1 draw and 1 defeat (L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games Everton have taken 1 win and 1 draw (W D). Everton are averaging 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 6 wins for Bournemouth, 3 for Everton and 1 draw, averaging 2.4 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 78% at odds of 1.28. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.68 to 1.03.

Bournemouth favoured at home despite recent loss, though Everton arrive in strong form (W) with a clean sheet. The 78% double chance offers safety with home bias in close-form contests.