Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest

Liverpool host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Anfield. Liverpool sit 5th in the table and Nottingham Forest are 15th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 2 league games Liverpool have taken 2 draws (D D). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games Nottingham Forest have taken 1 draw and 1 defeat (L D). Nottingham Forest are averaging 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 5 wins for Liverpool, 3 for Nottingham Forest and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.99 to 2.24.

Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest shows strong combined xG (1.99 + 2.24). Despite significant injury lists on both teams, the expected goal output supports Over 1.5 at high confidence.