Crystal Palace vs Manchester City

Crystal Palace host Manchester City in the Premier League, kicking off on Friday, 28 August 2026 at Selhurst Park. Crystal Palace sit 18th in the table and Manchester City are 1st, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 2 league games Crystal Palace have taken 2 defeats (L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games Manchester City have taken 2 wins (W W). Manchester City are averaging 3.0 scored and 1.0 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 1 win for Crystal Palace, 7 for Manchester City and 2 draws, averaging 4.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance X2 (Draw or Away) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.76 to 1.72.

City's injuries to attacking width (Doku, Savinho) moderate their usual away control. Palace's own defensive absences (Riad) support a tighter, less dominant City performance. Draw or Away remains likely but confidence adjusted down.